Nebius Group (NBIS) Stock Overview
A technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 1/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
NBIS Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$45.62
FV
305.0% overvalued intrinsic discount17.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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Software opportunity
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Fair Value from
US$6.8569.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
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Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$184.77 |
| 52 Week High | US$197.89 |
| 52 Week Low | US$27.20 |
| Beta | 1.24 |
| 1 Month Change | 57.39% |
| 3 Month Change | 114.60% |
| 1 Year Change | 554.75% |
| 3 Year Change | n/a |
| 5 Year Change | 195.44% |
| Change since IPO | 375.72% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • May 04
Nebius Q1 Earnings Preview: A Compounding AI Story Still Early
Summary Nebius Group remains a top neocloud pick, with a bullish rating and 42-138% upside potential over two years. NBIS's $643M Eigen AI acquisition is pivotal, enabling a transition from IaaS to higher-margin PAAS and differentiation from rivals. Execution is strong: 2025 ARR beat guidance at ~$1.2B, Q4 sales surged 547% YoY, and CAPEX is well-funded with minimal dilution risk. Key Q1 earnings catalysts include ARR trajectory, EBITDA resilience, and operational updates on hyperscaler deployments and pricing power. I remain bullish on NBIS, seeing a 2-year upside potential at 42-138%, depending on the market’s willingness to reprice Nebius for its execution. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 30
NBIS: Contract Concentration And Rising Debt Load Will Pressure Future Returns
The analyst fair value estimate for Nebius Group has been raised from $70 to $85. Analysts cite updated revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, broadly similar margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple to justify the new price target.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 04
Nebius Q1 Earnings Preview: A Compounding AI Story Still Early
Summary Nebius Group remains a top neocloud pick, with a bullish rating and 42-138% upside potential over two years. NBIS's $643M Eigen AI acquisition is pivotal, enabling a transition from IaaS to higher-margin PAAS and differentiation from rivals. Execution is strong: 2025 ARR beat guidance at ~$1.2B, Q4 sales surged 547% YoY, and CAPEX is well-funded with minimal dilution risk. Key Q1 earnings catalysts include ARR trajectory, EBITDA resilience, and operational updates on hyperscaler deployments and pricing power. I remain bullish on NBIS, seeing a 2-year upside potential at 42-138%, depending on the market’s willingness to reprice Nebius for its execution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 30
NBIS: Contract Concentration And Rising Debt Load Will Pressure Future Returns
The analyst fair value estimate for Nebius Group has been raised from $70 to $85. Analysts cite updated revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, broadly similar margin expectations, and a lower future P/E multiple to justify the new price target.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
NBIS: Meta AI Contracts And Nvidia Partnership Will Support Future Capacity Expansion
The Nebius Group analyst price target has been reset modestly lower, with fair value now at $270.06. Analysts are adjusting their models for updated growth, profitability and P/E assumptions following a mix of recent target hikes and downgrades across the Street.
Narrative Update • Apr 01
NBIS: Meta AI Contract Will Drive Long Term Capacity Expansion
Analysts lifted the Nebius Group price target to about $166 from roughly $159, citing updated forecasts for higher profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple supported by recent long term AI infrastructure contracts with large customers such as Meta and Microsoft. Analyst Commentary Street research on Nebius Group has been active, with several firms updating views and targets following new AI infrastructure contracts and recent earnings.Narrative Update • Mar 18
NBIS: Meta AI Infrastructure Contracts Will Support Future Capacity Expansion
The analyst price target for Nebius Group has increased to $278.70, with analysts citing large new AI infrastructure contracts with Meta and ongoing Buy initiations as key reasons for the reassessment. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing Nebius as a key AI infrastructure player, with recent research tying higher price targets to large, long-term cloud and AI contracts as well as expanding analyst coverage.
New Narrative • Mar 16
Nebius Group NV (NBIS): The AI Infrastructure Pivot and the Meta Super-Contract
Nebius Group (NBIS) concluded the March 16, 2026, trading session at $129.85 USD on the NASDAQ, surging 14.96% in a historic breakout session. Since my last update on March 1st, the stock has transformed from a speculative "de-SPAC" recovery play into a central pillar of the global AI supply chain.Narrative Update • Mar 04
NBIS: Debt Funding And Contract Concentration Will Pressure Future Share Price
Analysts have raised their Nebius Group price targets, including one increase to $232 from $211, citing higher long term revenue assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple, while fair value in this model remains at $70. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Nebius Group has centered on its positioning as a full stack AI infrastructure provider, its relationship with large cloud customers, and how these factors align with current valuation expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 17
NBIS: Microsoft Contract And 2.5GW Power Sourcing Will Support Future Capacity
Analysts have kept their Nebius Group price target steady at $211, but are now using slightly higher discount rates and a richer future P/E of about 34x. This reflects a mix of bullish views on the Microsoft contract, cautious revenue and margin assumptions, and a wide range of initial ratings from neutral to top pick calls.Narrative Update • Feb 03
NBIS: Long Term AI Power Contracts Will Support Future Capacity Utilization
Analysts kept their Nebius Group price target steady at US$211 while modestly adjusting assumptions around the discount rate, growth, margins, and future P/E to reflect recent initiation coverage, data center reliability metrics, and the long-term Microsoft contract backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have framed Nebius Group as a specialized power and data center provider tied closely to artificial intelligence and high performance compute, with coverage initiations and target adjustments centering on contracted demand, reliability metrics, and long-term visibility from major customer agreements.Narrative Update • Jan 20
NBIS: Long Term Power Contracts And Capacity Buildout Will Support AI Demand
Analysts kept their Nebius Group price target at US$211, citing updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margins, and a marginally lower future P/E that together support the existing valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nebius Group has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts highlighting the company’s positioning in high performance compute and artificial intelligence infrastructure, as well as the support from large customer contracts.Narrative Update • Jan 06
NBIS: Power Capacity Expansion Will Support Future AI Infrastructure Demand
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Nebius Group from $130.00 to $211.00, citing new Outperform initiations, higher Street price targets, and growing confidence in the company’s role in supplying power and capacity for high performance compute and AI demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage points to a constructive view on Nebius Group, with several bullish analysts highlighting the company’s position in supplying power and capacity for high performance compute and AI related workloads.Narrative Update • Dec 13
NBIS: AI Power Demand May Not Justify Elevated Share Price
Nebius Group's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $170 from $175 as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate and a slimmer margin outlook, even as they highlight accelerating AI-driven revenue growth, expanding contracted power capacity, and continued Outperform ratings across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Nebius Group, with multiple firms reiterating or initiating Outperform ratings and, in some cases, lifting price targets alongside rising power capacity expectations and AI related demand.Narrative Update • Nov 29
NBIS: Multi-Billion Dollar Microsoft Deal Will Accelerate Capacity Expansion
Nebius Group's analyst price target has been revised downward from $166 to approximately $159. Analysts cite improving revenue growth and profit margins, but also note a moderation in longer-term earnings multiples, which tempers immediate upside expectations.Narrative Update • Nov 15
NBIS: Strong Multi-Billion Dollar Contracts Will Drive Capacity Demand Higher
Nebius Group's fair value estimate rose from $156 million to $166 million after analysts raised their price targets. They cited strong demand for capacity, recent large-scale contracts, and improving profitability metrics.Narrative Update • Nov 01
NBIS: Winning The $17.4B Microsoft Deal Will Drive Market Outperformance
The analyst price target for Nebius Group has seen a substantial increase, with targets now ranging from $125 to $206 following the recent $17.4B Microsoft contract. Analysts cite enhanced revenue prospects and stronger valuation upside driven by the scale of the deal and favorable industry positioning.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Overvaluation Will Crumble Under Intensifying Regulatory And Cost Pressures
Nebius Group’s analyst fair value target was increased from $153 to $156.40 per share. Analysts cited substantial new multi-billion dollar contracts and a strengthened growth outlook following the company’s major deal with Microsoft.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Overvaluation Will Crumble Under Intensifying Regulatory And Cost Pressures
Nebius Group’s analyst price target has surged from $97.40 to $153.00 as analysts cite the transformative impact from major new contracts, rapid revenue growth expectations, and increased demand for data center capacity. Analyst Commentary Analyst response to Nebius Group’s recent developments has featured a blend of enthusiasm and caution, with substantial movements in their price targets and recommendations following the announcement of significant new contracts.Narrative Update • Sep 10
Overvaluation Will Crumble Under Intensifying Regulatory And Cost Pressures
The consensus analyst price target for Nebius Group has increased to $97.40, reflecting bullish sentiment on the back of a transformative $19.4B hyperscaler contract with Microsoft, stronger-than-expected quarterly results, and accelerated ARR guidance, supporting upward revisions in revenue and growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight the transformative impact of Nebius securing a $19.4B five-year hyperscaler contract with Microsoft, which supports a significant upward revision in future revenue and growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Aug 18
Overvaluation Will Crumble Under Intensifying Regulatory And Cost Pressures
Nebius Group’s consensus price target was raised to $89.40 as analysts cited strong Q2 revenue outperformance, increased management guidance, and a leading position in AI neo-cloud, driving robust growth expectations and improved risk/reward. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 results with an "apples to apples" revenue beat of approximately $15M (~17%) driven by robust core business performance, even after excluding Toloka.New Narrative • Aug 10
Overvaluation Will Crumble Under Intensifying Regulatory And Cost Pressures
Intensifying competition, open-source adoption, and regulatory hurdles threaten Nebius Group's profitability, margin stability, and expansion prospects in key markets.Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
H100 Renting Prices Will Drop, Fast - Reiterating Sell On Nebius
Summary Nebius Group N.V. stock is up +13% over the past five days, and we think investor confidence in misplaced as we see H100 rental price declining and pressuring ROI. We think Nebius is better positioned from the neocloud bunch but don't think it is immune to the price pressure and competition from hyperscalers. NBIS stock is also expensive at current levels with an EV/Sales of 6.04x versus a group average of 2.54x. We think Nebius stock has a higher risk profile into 2H25 and hence reiterate sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 22
Nebius: A Small Player With Big Potential In The AI Boom, Initiate With Buy
Summary Nebius Group, an AI infrastructure company, leverages its vertical integration to develop a competitive advantage. The company is focused on deploying its Blackwell data center to attract customers in 2025. Despite lacking scale and brand recognition, Nebius' smaller size offers personalized service, making it a speculative buy on high growth potential. While financially solid with $2.49b cash and aiming for $825m midpoint revenue in 2025, Nebius faces significant operating losses and high depreciation expense. Investment risks include heavy revenue concentration and market volatility, but the AI infrastructure sector's long-term growth potential currently makes Nebius a compelling buying opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 01
Nebius Group: I Think Risks Outweigh Rewards Right Now
Summary Nebius Group faces tough competition from hyperscalers like Amazon and Google, making it hard to justify its current valuation and growth prospects. Financially, NBIS struggles with limited cash reserves and unrealistic revenue growth targets, casting doubt on its ability to compete in high-end AI markets. Despite potential in Europe and autonomous driving, the risks and uncertainties overshadow the rewards, especially compared to more established players like AMZN and GOOG. If the Company achieves its ambitious revenue goals, it could warrant a higher valuation, but current data does not support this optimism. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 25
Nebius Group: One Big Reason To Rethink The Buys (Rating Downgrade)
Summary ARR execution missed expectations, but management still promises explosive growth. I think we should be wary of baking in this optimism. Pricing pressures from mega hyperscalers may squeeze Nebius out of the market. Nebius Group's cash burn trends are deteriorating and at this run-rate, it has enough liquidity runway to last it almost 5 quarters. Valuations are pricey, at a premium to most hyperscalers, at a 116% premium to direct competitor CoreWeave. Relative technicals vs SPX500 show a balanced buyer and seller forces. High stock-based compensation (SBC) is a risk monitorable. It would be unfortunate if the company executes on its high-growth targets but retains high SBC levels. That would not be good for minority investors like us. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 16
Nebius: Small Fish In A Big Pond
Summary Nebius Group stock is a "Strong Sell" due to its 25% overvaluation and challenging market conditions, despite its differentiated approach and strong balance sheet. The company's aggressive growth plans face significant competition from tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, making U.S. market expansion difficult. Nebius' potential is limited to Europe, where it also faces competition and economic challenges, impacting its ability to achieve bold growth targets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 04
Nebius: Implications From CoreWeave's $35 Billion IPO
Summary Nebius peer CoreWeave filed this week for IPO in the US with a valuation of more than $35 billion. CoreWeave's IPO could be very bullish for Nebius - we describe the reasons. We provide Nebius' valuation based on CoreWeave's IPO valuation. We summarize the upcoming catalysts that should bring Nebius closer to its fair value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 25
Nebius Group: Q4 Not As Bad As It May Seem At First Glance
Summary Nebius Group's mixed 4Q24 results showed a weak revenue of $37.9M and a decline in ARR to $90M, missing guidance due to customer losses. Despite a weak Q4, Nebius forecasts a strong 1Q25 with ARR of at least $220M in March and plans to significantly expand GPU capacity. Nebius maintains its 2025 guidance of $750M-$1B in ARR and $500M-$700M in revenue, with an EBITDA breakeven during the year. Despite the weak 4Q24, I maintain my positive view on the stock due to the strong 1Q25 outlook for ARR. My new Nebius's fair price is 46 per share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 17
Nebius Group: Ready To Storm New Peaks
Summary Nebius Group N.V. is a European AI leader, backed by Nvidia. NBIS's AI-centric cloud platform offers a cost-efficient, vertically integrated stack, providing a significant strategic advantage in the AI IaaS market. Led by Arkady Volozh, a renowned IT visionary and one of Europe's most impactful CEOs, Nebius Group leverages deep experience in building comprehensive ecosystems. Despite market uncertainties and competition, NBIS's partnership with Nvidia and robust fundamentals suggest a 45% upside potential, making it a compelling investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 10
Nebius Group: The Hidden Gem Of AI Infrastructure
Summary Nebius Group's stock has surged over 100% in the past year, driven by its unique AI-native cloud platform and cost-effective solutions for SMBs and AI startups. The company's diversified ecosystem, including subsidiaries like Toloka AI and Avride, enhances its value proposition and creates cross-selling opportunities across multiple AI-driven industries. Strategic geographic expansion and a strong partnership with NVIDIA bolster Nebius's competitive edge, ensuring access to cutting-edge hardware and meeting growing computational demands. Potential risks include project management challenges, dependence on NVIDIA for GPUs, and intense competition from hyperscalers like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
What DeepSeek Means For Nebius And Other AI Data Center Providers
Summary Nebius is poised to capitalize on the AI megatrend, leveraging unique engineering strengths and Nvidia's backing, making it an attractive investment. The recent 37% sell-off likely increased institutional holdings, potentially stabilizing Nebius's share price and reducing volatility. DeepSeek's efficiencies will drive AI costs lower, increasing demand for computing power and benefiting Nebius's data center growth. Numerous catalysts, including GPU capacity expansion and new data centers, will drive Nebius's share price higher in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 24
Nebius Group: My Updates On Avride Valuation
Summary In my previous column about Nebius Group, I arrived at a valuation of Nebius Group of $8.8 billion, or $37.5 per share. In this column, I conducted a detailed analysis of the robotaxi market in the U.S., as well as Avride's prospects within it, to determine the fair value of Avride. Based on my analysis, Avride could claim the 2nd or 3rd position in the U.S. robotaxi market. Potential investors interested in acquiring a stake in Avride could be Uber, Hyundai, Lyft, German automakers, and venture capital funds. I arrived at a new valuation for Avride of $3.4 billion, which implies a new fair valuation for Nebius Group of $11.2 billion, or $47.7 per share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 16
Nebius: Strong R&D And Technology Legacy Applied To New Growth Markets
Summary Nebius Group is a former Russian mega tech company (Yandex) starting over after severing all ties to Russia. Nebius' management and R&D teams have a strong right-to-win in the data center infrastructure markets they are targeting. Nebius' core business is expected to expand rapidly in FY25, driven by growth in customer accounts and data center capacity expansions. 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue valuations are attractive vs peers, especially pure-play competitors. Relative technicals vs SPX500 are also bullish. Much of the leadership team including the CEO comes from the former Russian company. But I don't have many doubts about their alignment toward minority shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 13
Nebius: Keeping Bullish View After The Recent Growth
Summary Nebius Group's stock price has surged past my conservative valuation, driven by a new capital raise and a U.S. data center launch, signaling strong growth prospects. Given the successfully completed funding round and numerous available options, I believe the company will easily secure the funds for further capital expenditures. My revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are $758 million and $1.518 billion, respectively, with EBITDA expected to reach $636 million by 2026. After updating the investment case, my new fair value for Nebius Group shares is $37.5 per share. I maintain my bullish outlook on Nebius Group's shares. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 07
Nebius Group: Diamond In The AI Mania's Dust?
Summary Nebius is astonishingly cheap for a pureplay AI company, even after doubling in a month. Nebius is a AI infrastructure company, offering compute for AI and machine learning workloads. The company has proven its ability as a cloud business in its previous life as Yandex, Russia's Google. The biggest risk to the investment is that its future growth will require outside capital, diluting existing shareholders in the process. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 13
Nebius Group: Well-Positioned To Be An AI Megatrend Winner
Summary A great deal of money is made in Global Megatrends. Several of the Magnificent Seven were winners of the Internet Megatrend, the biggest value creation in history. AI is most likely the next Megatrend and Nebius is our top candidate to play the theme. Nebius's strong founder has already built a business worth $30 billion. He bested Google in that venture. Business leaders who won once are more likely to win again. Google investors multiplied their money 20 times over 20 years. Nebius could be in a similar situation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
Nebius Group: More Growth Ahead
Summary Nebius Group's stock showed solid growth in the first days of trading, reaching my target fair value of $23. The company's data center in Finland and co-location data center in Paris represent a great opportunity for Nebius's revenue growth. Capital expenditures for data center expansion are substantial, but the company has sufficient liquidity reserves to meet these needs without an immediate need to raise new capital. My new fair valuation for Nebius Group is $5.43 billion, or $26.9 per share, reflecting positive revenue updates. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| NBIS | US Software | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 33.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| 1Y | 554.7% | -6.3% | 30.6% |
Return vs Industry: NBIS exceeded the US Software industry which returned -6.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: NBIS exceeded the US Market which returned 30.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| NBIS volatility | |
|---|---|
| NBIS Average Weekly Movement | 14.4% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: NBIS's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: NBIS's weekly volatility (14%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 1,543 | Arkady Volozh | nebius.com |
Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. The company also provides TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robotics.
Nebius Group N.V. Fundamentals Summary
| NBIS fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$49.95b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$9.80m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$529.80m |
4,827x
P/E Ratio89.3x
P/S RatioIs NBIS overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| NBIS income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$529.80m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$166.20m |
| Gross Profit | US$363.60m |
| Other Expenses | US$353.80m |
| Earnings | US$9.80m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 13, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.038 |
| Gross Margin | 68.63% |
| Net Profit Margin | 1.85% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 89.8% |
How did NBIS perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 11:45 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Nebius Group N.V. is covered by 31 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Andrew Charles Beale | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Boris Vilidnitsky | Barclays |
| Tal Liani | BofA Global Research |